Explaining red card criteria
I'm breaking down the criteria for a red card: if there's a denial of an obvious goal-scoring opportunity (DOGSO) without trying to play the ball, it's a red card; if a player attempts to play the ball inside the area, it’s a yellow but still red outside. For goalkeepers, handling DOGSO outside the area leads to a red card. Early red cards notably affect expected goals, lowering them by about 0.6-0.8 goals. I can provide a structured summary or a flowchart if needed!
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确实少见！同一晚两场意甲门将开场就因出击被罚下，判罚大多围绕这几条：
- 典型红牌原因：DOGSO（明显得分机会）+犯规；门将禁区外手球阻止进攻；或严重犯规/鲁莽冲撞。
- DOGSO四要素：控球可能性、离门距离、进攻方向（朝向球门）、防守人数优势；满足且不是“正当抢球动作”就红。
- 双重处罚例外：在禁区内且尝试正当抢球导致点球，一般改黄；禁区外不适用，门将禁区外手球多为红。
- VAR关注点：接触是否构成犯规/手球、位置在禁区内外、是否明显得分机会、是否属于例外情形。
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比赛影响与应对：
- 被罚下一般立刻换上替补门将，牺牲一名前场；阵型更紧、更低位，长传与反击增多。
- 对手控球与威胁机会通常显著上升，定位球防守压力加大。
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你说的是哪两场？给我对阵和时间点，我可以按规则条款帮你逐条复盘判罚逻辑。
